Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4 | 2nd Leg

Jun 15, 2025 at 7pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
1 - 3
Penarol

Olivera (23'), Silvera (37'), Barone (79'), Cabrera (90')
Herrera (17'), Jourdan (33'), Remedi (44'), Cruz De Los Santos (45+1'), Vera (58'), Perez (64'), Almeida (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Defensor
Sunday, June 1 at 3pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Next Game: Cerro vs. River Plate
Friday, June 6 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Penarol

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-1 Penarol
Sunday, June 1 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Next Game: Penarol vs. Defensor
Sunday, June 8 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for River Plate has a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.85%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.46%), while for a River Plate win it is 1-0 (6.11%).

Result
River Plate	Draw	Penarol
13.65% ( -0.85)	23.19% ( -0.53)	63.16% ( 1.38)

Both teams to score 39.06% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.99% (

0.41)

58.01% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.3% (

0.32)

78.7% (

-0.31)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.65% (

-1.05)

52.35% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.77% (

-0.69)

86.23% (

0.69)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97% (

0.66)

18.03% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.09% (

1.11)

48.91% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

River Plate 13.65%

Penarol 63.15%

Draw 23.18%

River Plate	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.18% Total : 13.65%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 16.16% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 13.85% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.91% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.75% Total : 63.15%